estimates
HDB to Offer Over 25,000 New Flats in 2025
The Singaporean government’s property cooling measures are a crucial factor to consider when investing in condos in the country. Through the years, the government has implemented several measures to control speculative buying and maintain a steady real estate market. These measures include the Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD), which imposes higher taxes on both foreign buyers and those purchasing multiple properties. While these measures may have a temporary impact on the profitability of condo investments, they ultimately contribute to the long-term stability of the market, creating a secure investment environment.
The Housing and Development Board (HDB) will launch more than 25,000 new flats in 2025, Minister for National Development Desmond Lee announced in a joint press release by HDB and the Ministry of National Development (MND) on Jan 16.
The new flats will be a mix of Build-to-Order (BTO) and Sale of Balance (SBF) flats, with a total of around 19,600 BTO flats across three sales exercises and more than 5,500 SBF flats in one SBF sale exercise. These units will fall under the new Standard, Plus and Prime BTO flat classification framework.
In the upcoming February BTO launch, approximately 5,000 flats will be offered in Kallang/Whampoa, Queenstown, Woodlands, and Yishun.
The HDB will also conduct its largest-ever Sale of Balance Flats (SBF) exercise next month, with more than 5,500 flats offered across various estates. Around 40% of these flats are already completed, while the rest are expected to be finished between 2025 and 2028.
In total, more than 10,000 new flats will be made available under the February BTO and SBF exercises.
In the past four years, from 2021 to 2024, HDB has launched around 82,700 BTO flats. With a planned pipeline of 19,600 BTO flats in 2025, HDB is on track to launch over 102,300 BTO flats, surpassing its commitment of 100,000 units over five years.
The increase in BTO supply has resulted in a drop in application rates. In 2024, the average application rate among first-time homebuyers for BTO flats of all types was 2.1, compared to 3.7 in 2019 before the pandemic. The average rate for three-room and larger BTO units last year was 2.2, down from 4.0 in 2019.
Minister Lee has assured that HDB will continue to release a steady pipeline of flats in the next few years to meet housing demand. Over 50,000 flats are expected to be launched between 2025 and 2027, bringing the total to around 130,000 flats from 2021 to 2027.
Approximately 3,800 of the 19,600 new flats, or one-fifth of the BTO flats in 2025, will be Shorter Waiting Time (SWT) flats with a waiting time of less than three years. This is an increase from the 2,876 SWT flats offered in 2024 and more than the committed annual supply of 2,000 to 3,000 SWT flats.
According to Lee Sze Teck, Senior Director of Data Analytics at Huttons Asia, the SWT flats will provide more options for buyers and potentially attract demand away from the resale market.
In 2025, around 7,000 HDB flats will reach their five-year Minimum Occupation Period (MOP), the lowest supply of such resale flats since 2015. “With HDB promising more BTO and SBF flats to meet demand, this will offer more choices for buyers and stabilise the resale market,” says Lee. “The larger flat supply and SWT flats will address the shortage of MOP flats.”
Huttons’ Lee estimates that HDB resale flat transactions in 2025 will range from 26,000 to 28,000, lower than the 28,876 units recorded in 2024. Resale flat prices are expected to grow at a slower pace of 5% to 8% this year, compared to the 9.6% increase reflected in HDB’s flash estimate for 2024.…